Latest research

Report

Corporate Bond Market Perspective

Getting back on track, stronger risk awareness and more institutional investors critical for the new development phase

30 Sep 2024

Report

Residential Real Estate Sector – 1H2024 Update

New housing supply will boost developer cash flows but also increase leverage

23 Sep 2024

Report

Corporate Bond Market Review – Aug 2024

In August 2024, we observed one new bond default totaling VND 450 billion from a real estate-related issuer

12 Sep 2024

Report

Banking Sector

Frequently asked questions on credit ratings for banks

26 Aug 2024

Report

Banking Sector Update – 6M2024

Asset risks and profitability remained broadly stable, with small banks facing more loan delinquencies and liquidity issues

19 Aug 2024

Report

Corporate Bond Market Review – July 2024

Banks continue to dominate new bond issuances, with more than half being Tier 2 capital bonds

14 Aug 2024

Research Reports

Corporate Bond Market Perspective: Getting back on track, stronger risk awareness and more institutional investors critical for the new development phase 30 Sep 2024
Residential Real Estate Sector – 1H2024 Update: New housing supply will boost developer cash flows but also increase leverage 23 Sep 2024
Corporate Bond Market Review – Aug 2024: In August 2024, we observed one new bond default totaling VND 450 billion from a real estate-related issuer 12 Sep 2024
Banking Sector – Frequently asked questions on credit ratings for banks 26 Aug 2024
Banking Sector – 6M2024 Update: Asset risks and profitability remained broadly stable, with small banks facing more loan delinquencies and liquidity issues 19 Aug 2024
Corporate Bond Market Review – July 2024: In July 2024, we observed four new bond defaults totaling VND 1.24 trillion from three real estate-related issuers, including two first-time defaulters 14 Aug 2024
Securities Sector Comment: Margin lending and investment gains drove strong profits, liquidity remained stable despite higher short-term borrowings 13 Aug 2024
Corporate Bond Market Review – June 2024: This monthly report summarizes our observations and analysis of the key developments in the corporate bond market over the past month.  15 July 2024
Residential Property Sector: 2H2024 Outlook: Developer sales will improve as new supply increases and homebuyer demand remains robust, access to financing will alleviate liquidity challenges 08 July 2024
Banking Sector: Banks will require VND283 trillion of subordinated bonds over the next three years to support funding and capital needs 17 June 2024
Corporate Bond Market Review – May 2024: The new default value increased with the coupon default of a bond from an issuer 12 June 2024
Issuer Comment – Ha An Real Estate Investment and Business JSC: Upcoming equity infusions will reduce Ha An’s refinancing pressure and liquidity risks, a credit positive 10 June 2024
Credit Insights: Recent surge in overnight interbank rates pose limited risks to the banking sector 31 May 2024
Securities Sector: New capital raised in 2024 will bolster growth in margin lending and investments and capacity to manage downside risks 30 May 2024
Banking Sector – 3M2024 Update: Profits are set to rise in 2024 due to lower credit costs and wider margins, strengthening banks’ weak loss absorption buffers 24 May 2024
Corporate Bond Market Review – April 2024: New defaults recorded the lowest level since August 2022, and debt restructuring and resolution continued with a noticeable increase in partial repayments of bond principal by defaulted issuers 13 May 2024
Corporate Bond Market Review – March 2024: Vietnam’s corporate bond market showed positive developments from improving credit conditions, such as a decline in new defaults, an increase in debt restructuring, and an increase in new issuances 08 Apr 2024
Residential Property Sector Outlook: Outlook improving from stronger homebuyer sentiment and project sales, risks from high leverage mitigated by broader funding access 20 Mar 2024
Banking Sector Outlook: Outlook improving as stronger operating conditions and low interest rates lower asset risks and boost profitability 19 Mar 2024
Securities Sector Outlook: Outlook improving from continued growth in margin lending profits and investment gains supported by stronger market conditions, while asset risks stabilize from slower bond defaults 12 Mar 2024
Corporate bond market outlook: Entering a new development phase on a stronger footing, forging ahead to overcome key challenges 11 Mar 2024
Corporate Bond Market Perspective: Building market discipline is critical to the sustainable growth of corporate bond issuance and slower defaults in the new development phase 27 Feb 2024
Banking Sector: New Credit Institution Law will strengthen risk governance among banks and empower the regulator to act swiftly to maintain financial sector stability 19 Feb 2024
Residential Property Sector: New real estate laws will pave the way for quicker and prudent development of new housing projects, positive for developers’ credit profiles and sustainable growth of the housing market  22 Jan 2024
2024 Credit Outlook:
Low interest rates and policy measures will support the recovery of domestic operating conditions and dampen the effects of external uncertainties
12 Dec 2023
Residential Property Sector: 9M2023 Update
Poor market sentiment led to weak project sales and operating cash flow, access to new financing is key to cope with refinancing risks
20 Nov 2023
Banking Sector 9M2023 Update: 9M2023 profits fell from the 2022 peak but recovery is within sight as net interest margin and credit pick up 13 Nov 2023
Securities Sector 9M2023 Update: Profitability recovered from trough levels, elevated exposure to higher-risk assets pose downside risk 08 Nov 2023
Corporate Bond Market Perspective: Proactive negotiations will slow down bond defaults in 2024, marking the start of a new development phase and recovery of bond issuance 10 Oct 2023
Residential Property Sector Outlook: Refinancing difficulties to persist as bond maturities and leverage peak amid market downturn, government measures need more time to take effect 07 June 2023

Securities Sector Outlook: Weak sentiment and elevated asset risks to hurt profitability, while solvency concerns mitigated by low leverage and stable liquidity

24 May 2023
Credit Insights: Weak external demand will weigh on Vietnam’s exports 19 April 2023
Credit Insights: Reflections on SVB’s downfall 12 April 2023
Corporate Bond Market Perspective: Real estate-related liquidity issues will drive up corporate bond defaults in 2023, new regulations to provide some relief for VND113 trillion of bonds at risk 06 April 2023
Credit Insights: Policy rate cut to support economic growth 28 March 2023
Credit Insights: Resolution No.33/NQ-CP on Solutions for Property Sector 23 March 2023

Banks: Slower operating conditions to weaken profitability, liquidity to stabilize with midsized and small banks most at risk (Presentation) [Updated with 2022 full year financials]

28 February 2023
Banks: Slower operating conditions to weaken profitability, liquidity to stabilize with midsized and small banks most at risk (Presentation) 31 January 2023
Banks: Slower operating conditions to weaken profitability, liquidity to stabilize with midsized and small banks most at risk 10 January 2023
Corporate Bond Market Perspective: New regulations will guide stable growth of corporate bonds, but keep new issuances subdued until 2H 2023 11 November 2022
Corporate Bond Market Perspective: New regulations will guide stable growth of corporate bonds, but keep new issuances subdued until 2H 2023 (Presentation) 11 November 2022
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